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Global Cooling Consistent With Global Warming

April 30, 2008 – Center for Science and Technology Policy Research

This article by Roger Pielke Jr. is an interesting discussion on climate models. He sings their praises as a study tool but appears to feel that they have limited value as a prediction tool. This is interesting when considering all of the fuss that has been occurring lately on different boundary conditions that can be applied to climate models and are being discussed with so much emotion on web (see here, here, and here for different viewpoints).

The Global Warming Challenge

The Climate Bet – April 29, 2008

You may be aware of the current personal campaign that I am engaged with regarding what I consider to be improper behavior at RealClimate. The authors of that site decided to bet the authors of a scientific paper. I do not feel that is responsible behavior but in my efforts to convince them I wanted to try and find other scientific bets that fall into their category of bet (largely financial v. gentleman’s bet). To date I have failed in that search, I did find some interesting gems to share with you.

The bully children have taken over at RealClimate.org!

Typically, RealClimate.org is filled with very useful (and sometimes difficult to grasp) scientific discussion. I have frequently commented about their site and usually I am complimentary (although they have slammed this site a few times).

Unfortunately, their latest article is reprehensible or at least foolish. I commented on their site but I don’t expect that my criticisms will survive their moderation. If they do publish it, I am sure their many supporters will condemn me. I am reproducing the bulk of my opinions here for you to decide.

Global warming may ‘stop’, scientists predict

Telegraph – April 30, 2008

I am starting to get suspicious whenever I see the phrase “Scientists Predict” in a title or opening paragraph. It almost seems that a scientist’s prediction is a lot like an appendix: everyone has one.

Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences has now predicted that for the next 8-10 years we won’t be seeing any global warming as the IPCC and Mr. Al Gore have predicted (there’s that word again). I am looking forward to other scientists standing up in the next few days to “predict” that this “prediction” is not accurate and that their “prediction” is more accurate.  Anyone have a spare crystal ball?

Antarctic ice threatened by ozone-hole recovery

Nature – April 29, 2008

Once again, we see an example of how the climate models that are predicting the end of the world, as we know it, have not taken into account some important factors.  Granted, this particular article is discussing another model (or at least calculation and prediction). It still points out that our models are far from complete and we need to spend more money and effort to increase this capability.

Recovery of the ozone hole above Antarctica could warm the Antarctic and cause more ice to melt in coming decades, researchers say. As the ozone hole heals, wind patterns that shield the interior of the polar region from warm air may break down, causing warming in the Antarctica as well as warmer and drier conditions in Australia.

The much maligned Drs. Singer and Gray

This is not an obituary of Dr. Fred Singer or Dr. William Gray, even though the title of this article may lead you to believe that.  Dr. Gray is the Professor of Atmospheric Science, Head of the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State and is the noted writer of the hurricane forecast every year.  Dr. Singer is currently the Director and President of The Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP).

I am writing this article simply because I am amazed at the bitterness that is delivered upon these two men.

A search for Dr. Singer and Dr. Gray on RealClimate.org reveals an amazing amount of sarcasm and lack of respect for the two gentlemen. Why? Well, they obviously don’t agree with many of the writers of RealClimate.  The sad thing is that they definitely have the credentials to disagree and still command respect.

The Cause Of Global Warming. Is It You?

GUEST ARTICLE:

By Erik Leipoldt

We know the Earth is getting warmer.

The International Panel on Climate Change predicts a global temperature rise of about 5C by the end of this century. Thats enough for major changes. Like in rising seawater levels, in food production and rainfall.

Knowing why we are in this fix is the first step to doing something about it. Yes, thats you and me. (Follow the feed link to read the rest of the story).

There are four levels at which to understand the cause of global warming.

* The mechanics of global warming

* What we do

* Our beliefs and values, and

The Mystery of Global Warming’s Missing Heat

March 19, 2008 – NPR.com

I love a good mystery. I am a big fan of mystery and drama shows on TV and movies and voraciously read all of James Patterson’s books and similar mystery stories.  I do not think that I would spend billions (trillions?) of dollars on it though and that is what we are embarking on with the global warming mystery.

If you are reading this site then you are probably interested, concerned, or worried about predictions of the future regarding global warming. The reasonable method of predicting the future is to understand the present and the past and make some inference on how current trends will be affected into the future. This prediction for global warming is done with computers and I have repeatedly ranted on this site that our capability of developing these models is sub-standard.

Reader questions – Part 4 of 4

This is the last of my series of articles based on the questions of one of my readers, Brittany.  Brittany sent me an email and asked 4 questions. I have broken up each of these questions into 4 different articles.  If other readers have specific questions regarding global warming, please drop me a note (you can find my contact information in the About page).

Question 4: I read that it will take hundreds of years for Arctic/Greenland glaciers to melt and close to a 1,000 years for West Antarctica to melt.  I don’t know if those facts are correct.  But if they are correct, why would the earth’s temperature increase 6 egress Celsius in the next 100 years?  That’s a very scary proposition if it’s true. 

Scientists doubt climate change

The Washington Times – December 21, 2007

This story has been floating around the media for some time and I suppose it is time that I discuss it as well. It wouldn’t be such a big deal except that Mr. Al Gore, former Vice President of the United States and Nobel prize winner, declared the debate over and that there was a consensus among scientists. Of course, the first thing that happens with that kind of grandiose statement is the nay-sayers raise their hands REAL HIGH!

That is part of what makes this discussion so interesting (and so frustrating). Seemingly intelligent people with such strong and diverse opinions that are arguing so strenuously. As with most bi-polar discussions, the truth likely lies somewhere in the middle.