Utilities seem to be a problem for analysis


I have had a few posts on the recent report from the US Administration regarding global warming. My posts all reference the great work of other bloggers on the subject. This post will be no different.

Steve McIntyre builds on the work of Climate Skeptic in digging into the utility industry and the vast increases in outages that they are suffering through due to the rampant bad weather that we are enjoying due to global warming.

Obviously, the above paragraph is meant to be satirical. I do this because Steve starts his post by being satirical and combining the report with Colin Powell and his UN testimony regarding weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Several of his readers correctly chastise Steve in the comments for doing this.  When you read his article, skip the first paragraph or two where Steve is trying to be funny.  The article doesn’t need this distraction to be relevant. Frankly, there is a reason that Steve is blogger on the climate and not writer for David Letterman!

The article is quite long and an enjoyable read.  I really cannot do it justice to even reprint part of it here.  Go over and read it.  It points out that you must question “peer reviewed” work when the reviewers is also the author!  If I “reviewed” my own work on this site, my analysis would, of course, be “amazingly brilliant” but based on some of the hundreds of comments that I have received over time, others don’t always see my “brilliance”.  Similarly, you should not believe a scientist that says he is “amazingly smart”.

I do leave you with one quote from the article that I think is relevant and it is the last paragraph:

When I was asked about the moral, if any, of the Mann hockey stick debacle, I regularly commented that Assessment reports should not rely on authors to assess their own work – that’s an invitation for problems. Unfortunately, that advice – given in a constructive and not adversarial way- has been ignored and the present CCSP report provides a particularly vivid example.

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